While I was reading How We Decide, I was reading the part about Deal
or No Deal which is a show I love, and one that my mom sent in an
audition tape for, and also while watching on the T.v.I was wondering.
What
makes a person make these horrible decisions in this game when they
should really have just taken the money to begin with instead of
chancing it?
Well, I know that since I am actually not there and
not in the person's shoes, and not with the loud crowd and host talking
to you and asking you the hard questions that the environment definitely
plays a role. The mental defect the book talks about is called "Loss
Aversion" which is "When a person is confronted with an uncertain
situation, like having to decide whether to accept an offer from the
banker, the individual doesn't carefully evaluate the information of
compute the Bayesian probabilities or do much thinking at all. Instead, the decision depends on a brief list of emotions, instincts, and mental shortcuts.
So, putting myself in the position of being on television, seeing the possibility of making rash decisions because of the loudness of the crowd, the millions of thoughts going on in your own head, the crowd telling you what to do, the host bombarding you with questions about what to do, plus your family screaming at you on the sideline, it is clear to me that its very easy to slip into Loss Aversion, us sitting at home aren't factoring everything in and can actually sit down and think about the choices during the commercial breaks, and do so in a calm manner.
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